Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.189105 0.223056 0.260888 0.306104 0.358610 0.417592 0.488804
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.139227 0.184124 0.239617 0.312958 0.407023 0.523269 0.677443
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.106187 0.153936 0.218037 0.309748 0.436843 0.605891 0.846750
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087815 0.137431 0.208756 0.317671 0.478426 0.705301 1.047626
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.072161 0.120895 0.195332 0.315694 0.503380 0.782205 1.224180
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059242 0.105655 0.180580 0.308187 0.517266 0.842460 1.381053
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.048934 0.092516 0.166578 0.298913 0.525806 0.893790 1.528000
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.043305 0.086296 0.162804 0.305487 0.560183 0.988808 1.753833
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.038292 0.080221 0.158171 0.309527 0.590105 1.078840 1.979969
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033720 0.074126 0.152455 0.310511 0.614202 1.160699 2.199619
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030234 0.069561 0.148868 0.314782 0.644428 1.255869 2.451678
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027963 0.067127 0.149056 0.326278 0.689421 1.381967 2.771963
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024133 0.060691 0.140288 0.318828 0.697074 1.440331 2.974202
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021648 0.056882 0.136535 0.321371 0.725314 1.541413 3.269525
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018996 0.052171 0.130054 0.317023 0.738468 1.613701 3.514816
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017502 0.050047 0.129118 0.324868 0.778596 1.744497 3.890978
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015592 0.046476 0.124207 0.322790 0.796365 1.830183 4.181299
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013632 0.042385 0.117373 0.315111 0.800308 1.886432 4.414016
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011851 0.038429 0.110242 0.305637 0.798759 1.930209 4.623350
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.011003 0.037023 0.109545 0.312350 0.836857 2.066381 5.050687
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.010132 0.035377 0.107945 0.316475 0.869013 2.191913 5.465178
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.009235 0.033468 0.105320 0.317480 0.893371 2.301436 5.852443
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.008543 0.032085 0.103983 0.321841 0.926890 2.435915 6.310564